Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Thursday, 8 October, 14:44
Overcast. Feels like 14°C. High 15°C, low 6°C.
The month ahead in Llanvihangel Pontymoel: daytime temperatures averaging +12.8° and +7.6° overnight — that is 0.7° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 11 days (around 58 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 56 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16°), the coolest 15 October (+4.5°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | +13.4° | +13.9° | -0.5° |
| 18 October – 27 October | +11.9° | +12.7° | -0.8° |
| 28 October – 6 November | near average | +11.5° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Abercarn (10.7 km away).
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Thursday, 15 October
Clear sky. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 10°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Llanvihangel Pontymoel, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Llanvihangel Pontymoel are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Llanvihangel Pontymoel since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.