As of 03:16 BST

Weather in Lea by Backford

+9°

Lea by Backford, Thursday, 8 October, 03:16

Mainly clear. Feels like 7°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity80%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Lea by Backford: daytime temperatures averaging +14.3° and +8.8° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 29 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.4°), the coolest 17 October (+5°).

+14.3°/+8.8°

Average day / night

+0.8°

Above average

7 / 7

Wet days / normal

29 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+13.9°	+13.9°	-0°
18 October – 27 October	+15°	+12.7°	+2.4°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.5°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.3°1 October 2011All-time high

-1.7°19 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Blacon (3.5 km away).

Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °

7.4

+15 °

Lea by Backford, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind18 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °

3.7

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity73%

Visibility6.1 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °

0.3

+13 °

Lea by Backford, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /17 °

2.6

+17 °

Lea by Backford, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /18 °

4.7

+18 °

Lea by Backford, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Lea by Backford, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph S

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /10 °

4.5

+10 °

Lea by Backford, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind11 mph N

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+5 ° /11 °

+11 °

Lea by Backford, Saturday, 17 October

Partly cloudy. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /10 °

0.1

+10 °

Lea by Backford, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind10 mph SE

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /17 °

0.5

+17 °

Lea by Backford, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind8 mph SE

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /15 °

1.9

+15 °

Lea by Backford, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 21+12 ° /17 °

+17 °

Lea by Backford, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lea by Backford, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind14 mph E

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 23+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lea by Backford, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind12 mph E

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Lea by Backford, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+0° (1982)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

2.9

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.9

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Lea by Backford, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Lea by Backford, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (1979)

Coldest on record-1° (1976)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

1.8

+11 °

Lea by Backford, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-1° (1965)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Lea by Backford, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1965)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Lea by Backford, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (1972)

Coldest on record+0° (1995)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lea by Backford are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Lea by Backford since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.