The month ahead in Lane Bottom: daytime temperatures averaging +12.2° and +6.6° overnight — that is 0.3° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 84 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 50 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+15.1°), the coolest 21 October (+2.8°).
+12.2°/+6.6°
Average day / night
−0.3°
Below average
10 / 8
Wet days / normal
84 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.7°
+12.9°
+0.8°
17 October – 26 October
+9.6°
+11.5°
-1.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.5°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.1°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.7°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Nelson (3.1 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /14 °1.9
+14 °
Lane Bottom, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /14 °22.8
+14 °
Lane Bottom, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility6.1 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °8.1
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility3.3 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Lane Bottom, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
Lane Bottom, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /15 °1.9
+15 °
Lane Bottom, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 14+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Lane Bottom, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind4 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Lane Bottom, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind9 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Lane Bottom, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °4.2
+12 °
Lane Bottom, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /12 °4.1
+12 °
Lane Bottom, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+6 ° /11 °5.8
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+4 ° /8 °23.3
+8 °
Lane Bottom, Tuesday, 20 October
Heavy rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+3 ° /7 °8.8
+7 °
Lane Bottom, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 7°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+3 ° /8 °0.3
+8 °
Lane Bottom, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record-1° (1993)
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °3.7
+12 °
Lane Bottom, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-2° (1964)
Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °4.8
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record0° (2003)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1981)
Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °4.8
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °4.5
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Thu, 29+5 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (1984)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °3.6
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-3° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °4.1
+11 °
Lane Bottom, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °5.1
+10 °
Lane Bottom, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall5.1 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °4.1
+10 °
Lane Bottom, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /9 °2.9
+9 °
Lane Bottom, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (2010)
Coldest on record-3° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °3.5
+10 °
Lane Bottom, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lane Bottom are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Lane Bottom since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.