The month ahead in Bardon Mill: daytime temperatures averaging +11.7° and +5.9° overnight — that is 0.3° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 47 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 41 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+16.1°), the coolest 21 October (+2.1°).
+11.7°/+5.9°
Average day / night
−0.3°
Below average
10 / 7
Wet days / normal
47 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.3°
+12.4°
+0.9°
17 October – 26 October
+8.9°
+11.1°
-2.2°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.4°1 October 1985All-time high
-4.2°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Haltwhistle (7 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /12 °2.7
+12 °
Bardon Mill, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °10.7
+14 °
Bardon Mill, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility4.9 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °1
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind25 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility5.5 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Bardon Mill, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
Bardon Mill, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+7 ° /15 °0.4
+15 °
Bardon Mill, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 14+5 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Bardon Mill, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Bardon Mill, Thursday, 15 October
Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind8 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Bardon Mill, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °2
+12 °
Bardon Mill, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /11 °1.6
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Mon, 19+6 ° /10 °2.2
+10 °
Bardon Mill, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+3 ° /7 °11.6
+7 °
Bardon Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 7°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+2 ° /7 °6
+7 °
Bardon Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /7 °1.2
+7 °
Bardon Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+6 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Sat, 24+6 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °3.3
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+15° (1969)
Coldest on record-2° (2010)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (1992)
Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Thu, 29+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Bardon Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (1983)
Fri, 30+5 ° /10 °2.5
+10 °
Bardon Mill, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °2.8
+11 °
Bardon Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record-3° (1992)
Sun, 01+5 ° /10 °3.4
+10 °
Bardon Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °3.2
+10 °
Bardon Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+14° (1969)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Tue, 03+5 ° /9 °3.7
+9 °
Bardon Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /9 °2.6
+9 °
Bardon Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+4 ° /9 °2.6
+9 °
Bardon Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Bardon Mill are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Bardon Mill since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.