The month ahead in Knipe Fold: daytime temperatures averaging +11.4° and +6.3° overnight — that is 0.8° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 133 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 65 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+14.7°), the coolest 21 October (+2.3°).
+11.4°/+6.3°
Average day / night
−0.8°
Below average
10 / 8
Wet days / normal
133 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+12.6°
+12.6°
-0°
17 October – 26 October
+9.5°
+11.4°
-1.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.5°1 October 1985All-time high
-2.6°18 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Windermere (7 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /12 °10
+12 °
Knipe Fold, Thursday, 8 October
Heavy rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+8 ° /13 °44
+13 °
Knipe Fold, Friday, 9 October
Heavy rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /9 °11.6
+9 °
Knipe Fold, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Knipe Fold, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °9.8
+14 °
Knipe Fold, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /13 °2.8
+13 °
Knipe Fold, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 14+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Knipe Fold, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind4 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Knipe Fold, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind8 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Knipe Fold, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /11 °16.7
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /11 °12.8
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °4.3
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind4 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+4 ° /8 °14.6
+8 °
Knipe Fold, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind5 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+2 ° /8 °0.4
+8 °
Knipe Fold, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+3 ° /8 °0
+8 °
Knipe Fold, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 8°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind3 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °4.2
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °5.3
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record-2° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °6
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2024)
Coldest on record0° (1993)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °5.8
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °4.2
+10 °
Knipe Fold, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Knipe Fold, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °6.7
+10 °
Knipe Fold, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °5.4
+10 °
Knipe Fold, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+14° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °6.3
+10 °
Knipe Fold, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.3 mm
Chance of rain70%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Knipe Fold, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °4.1
+10 °
Knipe Fold, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (2012)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Knipe Fold are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Knipe Fold since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.