The month ahead in Kirkmichael: daytime temperatures averaging +10.6° and +5.1° overnight — that is 0.3° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 69 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 52 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+14.3°), the coolest 17 October (+1.5°).
+10.6°/+5.1°
Average day / night
−0.3°
Below average
12 / 8
Wet days / normal
69 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+10.8°
+11.4°
-0.5°
17 October – 26 October
+10.1°
+10°
+0.1°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+9°
—
October records over 66 years
+19.9°3 October 1973All-time high
-2.5°14 October 1981All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Pitlochry (13.9 km away).
Thu, 08+3 ° /10 °6.1
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point3°C
Fri, 09+6 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Kirkmichael, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sat, 10+6 ° /10 °2.9
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Sun, 11+5 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Kirkmichael, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind10 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Mon, 12+4 ° /10 °4.7
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 13+5 ° /14 °6.2
+14 °
Kirkmichael, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind20 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /9 °1.5
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+4 ° /12 °16.2
+12 °
Kirkmichael, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind24 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 16+3 ° /10 °8.2
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Friday, 16 October
Snow. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure990 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sat, 17+1 ° /5 °9.5
+5 °
Kirkmichael, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 5°C, low 1°C.
Pressure993 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sun, 18+3 ° /9 °4
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /9 °4.4
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+12 ° /14 °0.2
+14 °
Kirkmichael, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Kirkmichael, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind7 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+6 ° /10 °3.1
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+15° (1996)
Coldest on record-1° (2023)
Sat, 24+5 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+14° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Sun, 25+5 ° /10 °3.9
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (1969)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+6 ° /10 °4.1
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2021)
Coldest on record-2° (1981)
Tue, 27+5 ° /10 °3.6
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+5 ° /10 °4.2
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+14° (2017)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Thu, 29+5 ° /9 °3.4
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+14° (2024)
Coldest on record-1° (1983)
Fri, 30+5 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+14° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Sat, 31+5 ° /10 °4.4
+10 °
Kirkmichael, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sun, 01+5 ° /9 °3.5
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+14° (2007)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Mon, 02+4 ° /9 °3.5
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+14° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1998)
Tue, 03+4 ° /9 °3.4
+9 °
Kirkmichael, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+14° (1979)
Coldest on record-2° (1966)
Wed, 04+3 ° /8 °2.9
+8 °
Kirkmichael, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high8°C
Average low3°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+13° (2025)
Coldest on record-8° (1968)
Thu, 05+4 ° /8 °2.5
+8 °
Kirkmichael, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high8°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+13° (2003)
Coldest on record-3° (1968)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Kirkmichael are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Kirkmichael since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.