Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Thursday, 8 October, 12:01
Overcast. Feels like 12°C. High 13°C, low 11°C.
The month ahead in Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel: daytime temperatures averaging +14.1° and +9.7° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 58 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 39 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.3°), the coolest 17 October (+3.8°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | +14.4° | +13.7° | +0.6° |
| 18 October – 27 October | +13.7° | +12.6° | +1.1° |
| 28 October – 6 November | near average | +11.5° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Rhyl (2.1 km away).
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Kinmel Bay / Bae Cinmel since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.