As of 15:15 BST

Weather in Kensington

+13°

Kensington, Wednesday, 7 October, 15:15

Overcast. Feels like 12°C. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility5.4 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Kensington: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +9° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 71 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 53 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+17.2°), the coolest 18 October (+5.8°).

+13.8°/+9°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

12 / 8

Wet days / normal

71 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.7°	+13.7°	+1°
17 October – 26 October	+12.3°	+12.4°	-0.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.4°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.1°29 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Old Swan (2.3 km away).

Thu, 08+9 ° /15 °

2.2

+15 °

Kensington, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °

12.6

+15 °

Kensington, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point11°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °

15.4

+12 °

Kensington, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind23 mph W

Humidity73%

Visibility3.0 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+10 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Kensington, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

1.5

+17 °

Kensington, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °

3.6

+17 °

Kensington, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Kensington, Wednesday, 14 October

Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Kensington, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Kensington, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind9 mph SE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /14 °

1.2

+14 °

Kensington, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Kensington, Sunday, 18 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind21 mph SE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /14 °

6.6

+14 °

Kensington, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind23 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /10 °

19.4

+10 °

Kensington, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Kensington, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Kensington, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind15 mph NW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

3.6

+12 °

Kensington, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (1971)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Kensington, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2017)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

4.5

+12 °

Kensington, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Kensington, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Kensington, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Kensington, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+17° (2024)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °

3.8

+11 °

Kensington, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Kensington, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Kensington, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Kensington, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

4.5

+11 °

Kensington, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record+1° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

4.6

+11 °

Kensington, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

3.5

+11 °

Kensington, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1967)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Kensington, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Kensington are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Kensington since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.