The month ahead in Keld: daytime temperatures averaging +11.2° and +5.8° overnight — that is 1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 11 days (around 76 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 65 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+14.7°), the coolest 20 October (+1.5°).
+11.2°/+5.8°
Average day / night
−1°
Below average
11 / 8
Wet days / normal
76 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+12.8°
+12.6°
+0.1°
17 October – 26 October
+8.6°
+11.4°
-2.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.5°1 October 1985All-time high
-2.6°18 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Windermere (21.2 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Keld, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °13.1
+14 °
Keld, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /10 °3.4
+10 °
Keld, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility5.9 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Keld, Sunday, 11 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °3.2
+14 °
Keld, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+7 ° /14 °1
+14 °
Keld, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 14+5 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Keld, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Keld, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind9 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Keld, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind9 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /11 °9.6
+11 °
Keld, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /11 °6.3
+11 °
Keld, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind21 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Mon, 19+6 ° /10 °3.9
+10 °
Keld, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind6 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+1 ° /7 °18.9
+7 °
Keld, Tuesday, 20 October
Snow. High 7°C, low 1°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+2 ° /6 °4.4
+6 °
Keld, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 6°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+2 ° /7 °0.3
+7 °
Keld, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °4.2
+11 °
Keld, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °5.3
+11 °
Keld, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record-2° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °6
+11 °
Keld, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2024)
Coldest on record0° (1993)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Keld, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Keld, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °5.8
+11 °
Keld, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °4.2
+10 °
Keld, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Keld, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Keld, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °6.7
+10 °
Keld, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °5.4
+10 °
Keld, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+14° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °6.3
+10 °
Keld, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.3 mm
Chance of rain70%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Keld, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °4.1
+10 °
Keld, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (2012)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Keld are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Keld since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.