Higher Hogshead, Wednesday, 7 October, 08:10
Overcast. Feels like 6°C. High 12°C, low 8°C.
The month ahead in Higher Hogshead: daytime temperatures averaging +13.6° and +7.3° overnight — that is 1.6° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 34 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 51 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+18°), the coolest 8 October (+4.1°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 October – 16 October | +13° | +12.4° | +0.7° |
| 17 October – 26 October | +14.5° | +11° | +3.5° |
| 27 October – 5 November | near average | +9.9° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bacup (1.7 km away).
Higher Hogshead, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Higher Hogshead, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Higher Hogshead, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Higher Hogshead, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Higher Hogshead, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Higher Hogshead, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Higher Hogshead, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Higher Hogshead, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Higher Hogshead, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Higher Hogshead, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 18°C, low 11°C.
Higher Hogshead, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Higher Hogshead, Monday, 19 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Higher Hogshead, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Higher Hogshead, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Higher Hogshead, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Higher Hogshead, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Higher Hogshead, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Higher Hogshead are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Higher Hogshead since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.