The month ahead in Heron Hill: daytime temperatures averaging +11.8° and +6.5° overnight — that is 0.6° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 100 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 65 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+15.1°), the coolest 18 October (+3.2°).
+11.8°/+6.5°
Average day / night
−0.6°
Below average
12 / 8
Wet days / normal
100 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+12.6°
+12.7°
-0.1°
17 October – 26 October
+10.3°
+11.5°
-1.2°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.4°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.8°1 October 1985All-time high
-2.3°29 October 1988All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Kendal (2.1 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Heron Hill, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind4 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+8 ° /13 °20.6
+13 °
Heron Hill, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /9 °7
+9 °
Heron Hill, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Heron Hill, Sunday, 11 October
Clear sky. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind5 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °6.7
+15 °
Heron Hill, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind12 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+9 ° /14 °8.5
+14 °
Heron Hill, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /14 °0.5
+14 °
Heron Hill, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Heron Hill, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /11 °0.1
+11 °
Heron Hill, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sat, 17+5 ° /10 °1.9
+10 °
Heron Hill, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+3 ° /12 °0.1
+12 °
Heron Hill, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind22 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /13 °21.1
+13 °
Heron Hill, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure993 mb
Wind26 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /8 °12.9
+8 °
Heron Hill, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 6°C.
Pressure995 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 21+5 ° /9 °2.2
+9 °
Heron Hill, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /10 °1.4
+10 °
Heron Hill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Heron Hill, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record-1° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Heron Hill, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1983)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °6
+11 °
Heron Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (2024)
Coldest on record0° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Heron Hill, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Heron Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °6
+11 °
Heron Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °3.9
+10 °
Heron Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °4.5
+11 °
Heron Hill, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Heron Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °6.2
+10 °
Heron Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.2 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1998)
Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °6.2
+10 °
Heron Hill, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °6.1
+10 °
Heron Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record0° (1965)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °4.1
+10 °
Heron Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °3.9
+10 °
Heron Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (2012)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Heron Hill are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Heron Hill since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.