As of 00:45 BST

Weather in Bailrigg

+11°

Bailrigg, Wednesday, 7 October, 00:45

Light rain. Feels like 11°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind8 mph N

Humidity94%

Visibility2.1 mi

Dew point10°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Bailrigg: daytime temperatures averaging +14.3° and +10.5° overnight — that is 1.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 102 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 60 mm. The warmest day should be 21 October (+17.7°), the coolest 8 October (+6.5°).

+14.3°/+10.5°

Average day / night

+1.8°

Above average

13 / 8

Wet days / normal

102 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.1°	+12.9°	+1.2°
17 October – 26 October	+14.6°	+11.7°	+2.9°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.4°1 October 1985All-time high

-2.3°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Heysham (7.7 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Bailrigg, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °

11.9

+15 °

Bailrigg, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °

11.7

+12 °

Bailrigg, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind26 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility4.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+9 ° /12 °

1.5

+12 °

Bailrigg, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /16 °

0.2

+16 °

Bailrigg, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind21 mph S

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °

1.5

+16 °

Bailrigg, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Bailrigg, Wednesday, 14 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind23 mph SW

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Thu, 15+11 ° /14 °

1.5

+14 °

Bailrigg, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind27 mph SW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /15 °

16.1

+15 °

Bailrigg, Friday, 16 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure998 mb

Wind29 mph SW

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /10 °

10.9

+10 °

Bailrigg, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind31 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /13 °

5.6

+13 °

Bailrigg, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind26 mph SW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+13 ° /15 °

11.7

+15 °

Bailrigg, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind26 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 20+14 ° /16 °

+16 °

Bailrigg, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 21+13 ° /18 °

+18 °

Bailrigg, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Thu, 22+11 ° /15 °

+15 °

Bailrigg, Thursday, 22 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

3.6

+12 °

Bailrigg, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °

4.9

+12 °

Bailrigg, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sun, 25+8 ° /11 °

5.5

+11 °

Bailrigg, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Bailrigg, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1981)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

5.6

+12 °

Bailrigg, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /11 °

5.9

+11 °

Bailrigg, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.9 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2019)

Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Bailrigg, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

4.1

+11 °

Bailrigg, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Bailrigg, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1974)

Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °

5.3

+11 °

Bailrigg, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

6.1

+11 °

Bailrigg, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.1 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /10 °

5.5

+10 °

Bailrigg, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

4.1

+10 °

Bailrigg, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

3.8

+10 °

Bailrigg, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Bailrigg are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Bailrigg since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.