As of 16:02 BST

Weather in Great Chalfield

+13°

Great Chalfield, Wednesday, 7 October, 16:02

Partly cloudy. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind12 mph N

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Great Chalfield: daytime temperatures averaging +15° and +7.8° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 44 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 39 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+17.8°), the coolest 21 October (+4.9°).

+15°/+7.8°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

44 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.7°	+14.9°	+0.7°
17 October – 26 October	+13.8°	+13.6°	+0.1°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.1°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.5°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bradford-on-Avon (4.3 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Great Chalfield, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /16 °

5.2

+16 °

Great Chalfield, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility5.4 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Great Chalfield, Saturday, 10 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /18 °

0.9

+18 °

Great Chalfield, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /17 °

2.4

+17 °

Great Chalfield, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind15 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Great Chalfield, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind7 mph SW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /18 °

+18 °

Great Chalfield, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+5 ° /14 °

+14 °

Great Chalfield, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind6 mph E

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /16 °

2.8

+16 °

Great Chalfield, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind10 mph SW

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Great Chalfield, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /15 °

8.1

+15 °

Great Chalfield, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind22 mph SW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /11 °

3.5

+11 °

Great Chalfield, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+5 ° /11 °

6.8

+11 °

Great Chalfield, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind19 mph SE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /14 °

1.9

+14 °

Great Chalfield, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+18° (1971)

Coldest on record+1° (1981)

Sat, 24+8 ° /14 °

3.3

+14 °

Great Chalfield, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (2002)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (1988)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2019)

Thu, 29+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sun, 01+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Great Chalfield, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Great Chalfield, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Great Chalfield, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Great Chalfield, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (1978)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Great Chalfield, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Great Chalfield are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Great Chalfield since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.