The month ahead in Avon Castle: daytime temperatures averaging +15.8° and +9.6° overnight — that is 1.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 30 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 54 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.8°), the coolest 18 October (+6.8°).
+15.8°/+9.6°
Average day / night
+1.3°
Above average
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
30 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+16.2°
+15°
+1.2°
17 October – 26 October
+15.2°
+13.8°
+1.4°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12.7°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.4°1 October 2011All-time high
-0.3°31 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ringwood (1.9 km away).
Thu, 08+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Avon Castle, Thursday, 8 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /19 °2.1
+19 °
Avon Castle, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Avon Castle, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+9 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Avon Castle, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+9 ° /17 °2.3
+17 °
Avon Castle, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /19 °1.4
+19 °
Avon Castle, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point17°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Avon Castle, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+13 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Avon Castle, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Avon Castle, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind9 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sat, 17+10 ° /16 °4.9
+16 °
Avon Castle, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind23 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Avon Castle, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point0°C
Mon, 19+11 ° /16 °6.6
+16 °
Avon Castle, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind24 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Tue, 20+13 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Avon Castle, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind23 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 21+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Avon Castle, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind23 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /12 °1.8
+12 °
Avon Castle, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+10 ° /14 °3
+14 °
Avon Castle, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+18° (2011)
Coldest on record+4° (1981)
Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °4.3
+14 °
Avon Castle, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+18° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1964)
Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °2.9
+14 °
Avon Castle, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+18° (2006)
Coldest on record+3° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /14 °2.1
+14 °
Avon Castle, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (1981)
Tue, 27+10 ° /14 °3.4
+14 °
Avon Castle, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °3.4
+13 °
Avon Castle, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+3° (2018)
Thu, 29+9 ° /13 °2.5
+13 °
Avon Castle, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+20° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2008)
Fri, 30+9 ° /13 °2.7
+13 °
Avon Castle, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (2001)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °4.2
+13 °
Avon Castle, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sun, 01+9 ° /13 °3.6
+13 °
Avon Castle, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+3° (2008)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Avon Castle, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °2.9
+12 °
Avon Castle, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (1994)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+8 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Avon Castle, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1966)
Thu, 05+8 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Avon Castle, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (2021)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Avon Castle are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Avon Castle since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.