The month ahead in Aughton Park: daytime temperatures averaging +13.4° and +9.6° overnight — that is 0.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 72 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 53 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.6°), the coolest 23 October (+5.6°).
+13.4°/+9.6°
Average day / night
+0.2°
Above average
13 / 8
Wet days / normal
72 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+14.5°
+13.6°
+0.9°
18 October – 27 October
+11.6°
+12.4°
-0.8°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+11.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+23.5°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.3°29 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ormskirk (1.8 km away).
Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °9.5
+15 °
Aughton Park, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point10°C
Sat, 10+11 ° /13 °7
+13 °
Aughton Park, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind24 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+10 ° /13 °2.7
+13 °
Aughton Park, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+8 ° /16 °0.9
+16 °
Aughton Park, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /18 °1.1
+18 °
Aughton Park, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Aughton Park, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+11 ° /14 °2.7
+14 °
Aughton Park, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Aughton Park, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /11 °11.8
+11 °
Aughton Park, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Aughton Park, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Mon, 19+12 ° /14 °9.4
+14 °
Aughton Park, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 20+11 ° /15 °2.9
+15 °
Aughton Park, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind27 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 21+9 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Aughton Park, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind28 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /10 °14.9
+10 °
Aughton Park, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.
Pressure991 mb
Wind24 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Fri, 23+6 ° /9 °2.4
+9 °
Aughton Park, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind14 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °3.9
+12 °
Aughton Park, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (2017)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Aughton Park, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2024)
Coldest on record+1° (2010)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °3.9
+12 °
Aughton Park, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+3° (1962)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °4.9
+12 °
Aughton Park, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.9 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Aughton Park, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Aughton Park, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °3.2
+12 °
Aughton Park, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Aughton Park, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Aughton Park, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Aughton Park, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °4.9
+11 °
Aughton Park, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.9 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Aughton Park, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1968)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °4.4
+11 °
Aughton Park, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1965)
Fri, 06+7 ° /10 °3.1
+10 °
Aughton Park, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1964)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Aughton Park are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Aughton Park since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.