As of 16:00 BST

Weather in Gaer-fawr

+14°

Gaer-fawr, Thursday, 8 October, 16:00

Overcast. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity56%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Gaer-fawr: daytime temperatures averaging +14.7° and +8° overnight — that is 0.6° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 32 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 46 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.2°), the coolest 23 October (+6.2°).

+14.7°/+8°

Average day / night

+0.6°

Above average

9 / 6

Wet days / normal

32 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+15.4°	+14.5°	+0.9°
18 October – 27 October	+13.7°	+13.3°	+0.4°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12.1°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-2°29 October 2008All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Newport / Casnewydd (16.6 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /16 °

1.4

+16 °

Gaer-fawr, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity93%

Visibility4.3 mi

Dew point15°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Gaer-fawr, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph W

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Gaer-fawr, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind4 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /18 °

4.4

+18 °

Gaer-fawr, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity96%

Visibility3.9 mi

Dew point15°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /19 °

1.7

+19 °

Gaer-fawr, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point18°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °

1.2

+17 °

Gaer-fawr, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Gaer-fawr, Thursday, 15 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Fri, 16+6 ° /13 °

4.4

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /14 °

1.2

+14 °

Gaer-fawr, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind9 mph E

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /13 °

13.4

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind13 mph N

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Gaer-fawr, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind12 mph N

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Gaer-fawr, Tuesday, 20 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind12 mph NE

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Gaer-fawr, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Gaer-fawr, Thursday, 22 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind6 mph NE

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 23+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Gaer-fawr, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind4 mph SE

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °

3.5

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

2.6

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2003)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Gaer-fawr, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

4.2

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Gaer-fawr, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

4.1

+12 °

Gaer-fawr, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Gaer-fawr, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Gaer-fawr, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Gaer-fawr, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Gaer-fawr, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Gaer-fawr are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Gaer-fawr since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.