The month ahead in Flax Bourton: daytime temperatures averaging +15.2° and +9.5° overnight — that is 1.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 49 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 40 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+18.6°), the coolest 21 October (+6.5°).
+15.2°/+9.5°
Average day / night
+1.1°
Above average
9 / 6
Wet days / normal
49 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+16°
+14.5°
+1.5°
17 October – 26 October
+13.8°
+13.3°
+0.5°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.7°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.3°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Long Ashton (3.1 km away).
Thu, 08+9 ° /15 °0.2
+15 °
Flax Bourton, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+13 ° /17 °6.2
+17 °
Flax Bourton, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point15°C
Sat, 10+11 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Flax Bourton, Saturday, 10 October
Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+10 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Flax Bourton, Sunday, 11 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+10 ° /19 °2.3
+19 °
Flax Bourton, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /18 °2.6
+18 °
Flax Bourton, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Flax Bourton, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 15+9 ° /18 °0.4
+18 °
Flax Bourton, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Flax Bourton, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+11 ° /14 °5.7
+14 °
Flax Bourton, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Flax Bourton, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /16 °9.4
+16 °
Flax Bourton, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind26 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+8 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Flax Bourton, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /12 °6.6
+12 °
Flax Bourton, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /14 °8.3
+14 °
Flax Bourton, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (1981)
Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °3.4
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record0° (1987)
Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °2.3
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (1987)
Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1997)
Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °2.5
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (2012)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Flax Bourton, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+18° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1983)
Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °3.8
+13 °
Flax Bourton, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (1992)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Flax Bourton, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Flax Bourton, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2006)
Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Flax Bourton, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Flax Bourton, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Flax Bourton, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Flax Bourton are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Flax Bourton since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.