As of 12:21 BST

Weather in Flackley Ash

+17°

Flackley Ash, Wednesday, 7 October, 12:21

Light rain. Feels like 17°C. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind16 mph N

Humidity94%

Visibility2.1 mi

Dew point16°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Flackley Ash: daytime temperatures averaging +15.7° and +9.6° overnight — that is 0.7° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 40 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+18.9°), the coolest 8 October (+6.7°).

+15.7°/+9.6°

Average day / night

+0.7°

Above average

7 / 6

Wet days / normal

40 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.2°	+15.4°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+14.7°	+14.2°	+0.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-0.4°30 October 1997All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Rye (5 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Flackley Ash, Thursday, 8 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /19 °

1.1

+19 °

Flackley Ash, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity77%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Flackley Ash, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind13 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Flackley Ash, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Flackley Ash, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /16 °

+16 °

Flackley Ash, Tuesday, 13 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 14+12 ° /16 °

8.5

+16 °

Flackley Ash, Wednesday, 14 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Thu, 15+12 ° /17 °

+17 °

Flackley Ash, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind12 mph E

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 16+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Flackley Ash, Friday, 16 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind10 mph SE

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sat, 17+13 ° /17 °

1.3

+17 °

Flackley Ash, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /17 °

4.4

+17 °

Flackley Ash, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind22 mph SE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+13 ° /15 °

11.4

+15 °

Flackley Ash, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /14 °

0.9

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure996 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °

0.5

+11 °

Flackley Ash, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind24 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /14 °

2.3

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /14 °

1.8

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+4° (1991)

Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1964)

Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °

2.2

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2006)

Coldest on record+1° (1964)

Mon, 26+9 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2010)

Tue, 27+9 ° /14 °

1.7

+14 °

Flackley Ash, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (1984)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Flackley Ash, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Flackley Ash, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Flackley Ash, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+20° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Flackley Ash, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1974)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

2.9

+13 °

Flackley Ash, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (1999)

Coldest on record+1° (1962)

Mon, 02+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Flackley Ash, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1985)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Flackley Ash, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /12 °

2.6

+12 °

Flackley Ash, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /12 °

1.5

+12 °

Flackley Ash, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2020)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Flackley Ash are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Flackley Ash since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.