As of 15:01 BST

Weather in Fairlawn Cottage

+14°

Fairlawn Cottage, Thursday, 8 October, 15:01

Overcast. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity52%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Fairlawn Cottage: daytime temperatures averaging +15.1° and +8.4° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 16 mm), against a normal of 5 days and 31 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+20.8°), the coolest 8 October (+6.2°).

+15.1°/+8.4°

Average day / night

+0.8°

Above average

4 / 5

Wet days / normal

16 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+15.5°	+14.7°	+0.8°
18 October – 27 October	+14.4°	+13.5°	+0.9°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-1.9°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Totteridge (3 km away).

Fri, 09+8 ° /17 °

2.4

+17 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /16 °

0.9

+16 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point11°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /21 °

1.7

+21 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 21°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °

0.1

+15 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity45%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Sat, 17+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity38%

Visibility—

Dew point-1°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /12 °

6.2

+12 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /11 °

4.5

+11 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind8 mph N

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Tuesday, 20 October

Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Wednesday, 21 October

Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind8 mph E

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /16 °

+16 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Thursday, 22 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind6 mph E

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 23+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind4 mph E

Humidity46%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+8 ° /14 °

1.9

+14 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record+0° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

1.1

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.1 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (2003)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+21° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 03+6 ° /12 °

1.6

+12 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Fairlawn Cottage, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1995)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Fairlawn Cottage are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Fairlawn Cottage since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.