The month ahead in Esk Valley: daytime temperatures averaging +13° and +6.9° overnight — that is 0° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 22 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 38 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.8°), the coolest 22 October (+4.1°).
+13°/+6.9°
Average day / night
−0°
Below average
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
22 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.9°
+13.4°
+0.4°
17 October – 26 October
+11.6°
+12.4°
-0.7°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.5°
—
October records over 66 years
+22°1 October 1985All-time high
+1.9°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Whitby (9.6 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Esk Valley, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /16 °5.3
+16 °
Esk Valley, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility5.9 mi
Dew point12°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °0.2
+12 °
Esk Valley, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Esk Valley, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /15 °1
+15 °
Esk Valley, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind19 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+9 ° /17 °2.1
+17 °
Esk Valley, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Esk Valley, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /16 °0.2
+16 °
Esk Valley, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Fri, 16+7 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Esk Valley, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+6 ° /13 °0.6
+13 °
Esk Valley, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Esk Valley, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind20 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /14 °6
+14 °
Esk Valley, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure994 mb
Wind26 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Esk Valley, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+5 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Esk Valley, Wednesday, 21 October
Mainly clear. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Esk Valley, Thursday, 22 October
Mainly clear. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind18 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °1.5
+12 °
Esk Valley, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (1971)
Coldest on record+5° (1987)
Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Esk Valley, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2017)
Coldest on record+4° (1987)
Sun, 25+9 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Esk Valley, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record+4° (1992)
Mon, 26+9 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Esk Valley, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+3° (2012)
Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Esk Valley, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Esk Valley, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+3° (2008)
Thu, 29+8 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Esk Valley, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (1984)
Coldest on record+3° (2008)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Esk Valley, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (1992)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Esk Valley, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+3° (1992)
Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Esk Valley, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2020)
Coldest on record+4° (1964)
Mon, 02+8 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Esk Valley, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+3° (1985)
Tue, 03+8 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Esk Valley, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Esk Valley, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (1966)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Esk Valley, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (1968)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Esk Valley are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Esk Valley since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.