As of 15:05 BST

Weather in Erskine Harbour

+11°

Erskine Harbour, Thursday, 8 October, 15:05

Light rain. Feels like 10°C. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility3.8 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Erskine Harbour: daytime temperatures averaging +12.7° and +7.1° overnight — that is 0.9° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 65 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 65 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+15.6°), the coolest 17 October (+3°).

+12.7°/+7.1°

Average day / night

+0.9°

Above average

9 / 8

Wet days / normal

65 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+12.2°	+12.1°	+0.1°
18 October – 27 October	+13.5°	+11°	+2.5°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+9.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+19.5°13 October 1990All-time high

-2.6°20 October 2002All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Erskine (0.7 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /14 °

9.7

+14 °

Erskine Harbour, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity80%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /11 °

4.2

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity86%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Erskine Harbour, Sunday, 11 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind3 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °

2.2

+14 °

Erskine Harbour, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind6 mph SE

Humidity91%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °

10.8

+16 °

Erskine Harbour, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind19 mph S

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /13 °

16.4

+13 °

Erskine Harbour, Wednesday, 14 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind22 mph SW

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /10 °

6.3

+10 °

Erskine Harbour, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+5 ° /11 °

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Sat, 17+3 ° /9 °

2.9

+9 °

Erskine Harbour, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind5 mph NE

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /14 °

4.5

+14 °

Erskine Harbour, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind6 mph N

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+5 ° /12 °

+12 °

Erskine Harbour, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1033 mb

Wind4 mph N

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Erskine Harbour, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind7 mph SW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Erskine Harbour, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind4 mph SW

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Erskine Harbour, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+10 ° /14 °

0.5

+14 °

Erskine Harbour, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind10 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °

6.3

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.3 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+15° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (2003)

Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+15° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1992)

Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °

4.8

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.8 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2012)

Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °

5.3

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2012)

Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °

5.2

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2019)

Thu, 29+5 ° /10 °

5.1

+10 °

Erskine Harbour, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °

5.1

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °

5.1

+11 °

Erskine Harbour, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °

5.2

+10 °

Erskine Harbour, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+14° (2007)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °

5.3

+10 °

Erskine Harbour, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (1971)

Coldest on record-2° (1998)

Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °

5.4

+10 °

Erskine Harbour, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Wed, 04+5 ° /9 °

3.4

+9 °

Erskine Harbour, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+14° (1978)

Coldest on record-5° (1968)

Thu, 05+5 ° /9 °

3.4

+9 °

Erskine Harbour, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+14° (2003)

Coldest on record-2° (2012)

Fri, 06+5 ° /10 °

3.6

+10 °

Erskine Harbour, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record-3° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Erskine Harbour are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Erskine Harbour since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.