The month ahead in Dunnerdale: daytime temperatures averaging +10.1° and +6.1° overnight — that is 2.7° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 14 days (around 138 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 78 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+13.7°), the coolest 22 October (+2°).
+10.1°/+6.1°
Average day / night
−2.7°
Below average
14 / 9
Wet days / normal
138 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+11.2°
+13.2°
-2°
17 October – 26 October
+8.3°
+12°
-3.7°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+21.7°1 October 1985All-time high
-0.9°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Broughton in Furness (7.8 km away).
Thu, 08+3 ° /11 °10.8
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+8 ° /12 °30.8
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Sat, 10+6 ° /8 °17.6
+8 °
Dunnerdale, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 8°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility1.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /10 °0.9
+10 °
Dunnerdale, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /13 °8.5
+13 °
Dunnerdale, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /14 °13
+14 °
Dunnerdale, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /13 °2
+13 °
Dunnerdale, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /12 °5.8
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind23 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 16+5 ° /9 °0
+9 °
Dunnerdale, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+5 ° /7 °11.6
+7 °
Dunnerdale, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 7°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /8 °6.2
+8 °
Dunnerdale, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /11 °12.3
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind30 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /6 °3
+6 °
Dunnerdale, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 6°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind32 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Thu, 22+2 ° /6 °8.6
+6 °
Dunnerdale, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 6°C, low 2°C.
Pressure991 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °5.5
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.5 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °6.2
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.2 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1964)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °6.9
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.9 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (2024)
Coldest on record+2° (1993)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1981)
Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °7.1
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall7.1 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °6.8
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.8 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2019)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °5.7
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °6
+12 °
Dunnerdale, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °7.9
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall7.9 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+15° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1985)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °6.8
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.8 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °7.6
+11 °
Dunnerdale, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall7.6 mm
Chance of rain73%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+2° (1966)
Wed, 04+7 ° /10 °5.3
+10 °
Dunnerdale, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+14° (2010)
Coldest on record0° (1968)
Thu, 05+7 ° /10 °5.1
+10 °
Dunnerdale, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.1 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Dunnerdale are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Dunnerdale since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.