As of 10:15 BST

Weather in Downhall Beach Estate

+10°

Downhall Beach Estate, Thursday, 8 October, 10:15

Clear sky. Feels like 7°C. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Downhall Beach Estate: daytime temperatures averaging +15.6° and +10.9° overnight — that is 1.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 38 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+21.6°), the coolest 11 October (+7.4°).

+15.6°/+10.9°

Average day / night

+1.2°

Above average

5 / 6

Wet days / normal

38 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+16.2°	+14.8°	+1.4°
18 October – 27 October	+14.6°	+13.6°	+1°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12.2°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.7°2 October 2011All-time high

+0.2°31 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — West Mersea (4.2 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /19 °

3.3

+19 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity57%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /17 °

0.2

+17 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+17 ° /22 °

0.2

+22 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 22°C, low 17°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+13 ° /19 °

+19 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 19°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind10 mph SW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /15 °

7.4

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind29 mph NW

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Friday, 16 October

Clear sky. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind19 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /15 °

1.5

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind20 mph N

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sun, 18+12 ° /14 °

8.9

+14 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph N

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+12 ° /13 °

16.1

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Monday, 19 October

Heavy rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 20+13 ° /15 °

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind20 mph E

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 21+13 ° /15 °

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind10 mph E

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 22+12 ° /15 °

0.7

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind17 mph E

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 23+13 ° /15 °

+15 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind19 mph E

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °

1.7

+14 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+19° (1995)

Coldest on record+2° (1964)

Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record+3° (2010)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (2010)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+21° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (1962)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (2012)

Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °

1.6

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2008)

Fri, 30+9 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+3° (1974)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record+1° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (2020)

Coldest on record+2° (1985)

Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °

1.9

+12 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record+2° (1965)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

1.4

+11 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Fri, 06+7 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Downhall Beach Estate, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2017)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Downhall Beach Estate are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Downhall Beach Estate since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.