As of 11:38 BST

Weather in Aberkenfig / Abercynffig

+13°

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Thursday, 8 October, 11:38

Overcast. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Aberkenfig / Abercynffig: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +9° overnight — that is 0° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 50 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 58 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.4°), the coolest 17 October (+3.6°).

+13.8°/+9°

Average day / night

−0°

Below average

10 / 7

Wet days / normal

50 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+14°	+14.2°	-0.3°
18 October – 27 October	+13.6°	+13.1°	+0.5°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Pencoed (6.9 km away).

Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °

10.9

+15 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind25 mph W

Humidity95%

Visibility2.0 mi

Dew point15°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °

+12 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind18 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °

0.2

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind2 mph S

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+12 ° /16 °

3.8

+16 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Tue, 13+13 ° /16 °

5.9

+16 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+11 ° /16 °

0.2

+16 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /13 °

7.5

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /13 °

0.1

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+4 ° /11 °

+11 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind10 mph E

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sun, 18+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /13 °

6.2

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind24 mph E

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /13 °

5.7

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind21 mph E

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+11 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind16 mph E

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 22+10 ° /15 °

1.4

+15 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind5 mph E

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+9 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °

5.1

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °

3.9

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+4° (2003)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

4.9

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

5.5

+13 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (2020)

Coldest on record+2° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2006)

Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2021)

Fri, 06+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Aberkenfig / Abercynffig, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record+2° (2017)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Aberkenfig / Abercynffig are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Aberkenfig / Abercynffig since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.