As of 09:14 BST

Weather in Denscombe

+12°

Denscombe, Wednesday, 7 October, 09:14

Overcast. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind2 mph N

Humidity91%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Denscombe: daytime temperatures averaging +16° and +8.9° overnight — that is 2.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 17 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 55 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+19.2°), the coolest 22 October (+6.3°).

+16°/+8.9°

Average day / night

+2.1°

Above average

4 / 7

Wet days / normal

17 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.6°	+14.3°	+1.3°
17 October – 26 October	+16.6°	+13.1°	+3.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-2°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bedwas (2.6 km away).

Thu, 08+9 ° /14 °

0.1

+14 °

Denscombe, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /15 °

6.9

+15 °

Denscombe, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind23 mph W

Humidity96%

Visibility2.3 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Denscombe, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Denscombe, Sunday, 11 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /16 °

4.5

+16 °

Denscombe, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /18 °

1.8

+18 °

Denscombe, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Denscombe, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Denscombe, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Denscombe, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind10 mph SW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sat, 17+11 ° /19 °

+19 °

Denscombe, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+11 ° /18 °

+18 °

Denscombe, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind13 mph NE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Denscombe, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Denscombe, Tuesday, 20 October

Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind9 mph E

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Denscombe, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind9 mph E

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Denscombe, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind14 mph E

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Denscombe, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record+2° (1981)

Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Denscombe, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

3.5

+13 °

Denscombe, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Denscombe, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Denscombe, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

4.4

+13 °

Denscombe, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Denscombe, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

4.1

+12 °

Denscombe, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

5.3

+13 °

Denscombe, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Denscombe, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Denscombe, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Denscombe, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Denscombe, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

2.9

+11 °

Denscombe, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Denscombe are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Denscombe since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.