As of 12:12 BST

Weather in Arnaby

+13°

Arnaby, Wednesday, 7 October, 12:12

Mainly clear. Feels like 12°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Arnaby: daytime temperatures averaging +12.4° and +8.4° overnight — that is 0.5° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 11 days (around 106 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 78 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+15.3°), the coolest 21 October (+4.9°).

+12.4°/+8.4°

Average day / night

−0.5°

Below average

11 / 9

Wet days / normal

106 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.5°	+13.2°	+0.3°
17 October – 26 October	+10.5°	+12°	-1.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.1°	—

October records over 66 years

+21.7°1 October 1985All-time high

-0.9°17 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Broughton in Furness (4.1 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /13 °

11.3

+13 °

Arnaby, Thursday, 8 October

Heavy rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /14 °

26.6

+14 °

Arnaby, Friday, 9 October

Heavy rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /11 °

12.4

+11 °

Arnaby, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind22 mph W

Humidity83%

Visibility4.3 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+9 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Arnaby, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /14 °

6.2

+14 °

Arnaby, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /14 °

5.6

+14 °

Arnaby, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Arnaby, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind6 mph N

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Arnaby, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind9 mph SE

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Arnaby, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /12 °

14.1

+12 °

Arnaby, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind17 mph SE

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /12 °

9.5

+12 °

Arnaby, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind24 mph SE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Arnaby, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /9 °

7.8

+9 °

Arnaby, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Wed, 21+5 ° /9 °

+9 °

Arnaby, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 9°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind18 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /10 °

0.6

+10 °

Arnaby, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Arnaby, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+3° (1993)

Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °

6.2

+12 °

Arnaby, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall6.2 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record+2° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

6.9

+12 °

Arnaby, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.9 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (2024)

Coldest on record+2° (1993)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Arnaby, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1981)

Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °

7.1

+12 °

Arnaby, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall7.1 mm

Chance of rain72%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

6.8

+12 °

Arnaby, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.8 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2019)

Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °

5.4

+11 °

Arnaby, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

5.7

+12 °

Arnaby, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Arnaby, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °

7.9

+11 °

Arnaby, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall7.9 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (1985)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

6.8

+11 °

Arnaby, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.8 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

7.6

+11 °

Arnaby, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall7.6 mm

Chance of rain73%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record+2° (1966)

Wed, 04+7 ° /10 °

5.3

+10 °

Arnaby, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+14° (2010)

Coldest on record0° (1968)

Thu, 05+7 ° /10 °

5.1

+10 °

Arnaby, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Arnaby are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Arnaby since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.