The month ahead in Cwm Gwyn: daytime temperatures averaging +14.2° and +9.8° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 35 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 64 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.1°), the coolest 17 October (+6.5°).
+14.2°/+9.8°
Average day / night
+0.4°
Above average
9 / 8
Wet days / normal
35 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+14.1°
+14.1°
-0.1°
18 October – 27 October
+14.3°
+13°
+1.3°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+12°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.2°1 October 2011All-time high
-0.5°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Swansea / Abertawe (2.7 km away).
Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °6.7
+15 °
Cwm Gwyn, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind24 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point15°C
Sat, 10+10 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Saturday, 10 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °0.4
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind3 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Mon, 12+13 ° /16 °3.9
+16 °
Cwm Gwyn, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /17 °2.1
+17 °
Cwm Gwyn, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /15 °1.4
+15 °
Cwm Gwyn, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 15+9 ° /12 °7.1
+12 °
Cwm Gwyn, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind25 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /12 °0.2
+12 °
Cwm Gwyn, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Cwm Gwyn, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind12 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /13 °2
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind9 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+10 ° /13 °4
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind28 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+10 ° /13 °5.1
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind24 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 21+13 ° /16 °0.4
+16 °
Cwm Gwyn, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind23 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Thu, 22+13 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Cwm Gwyn, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind21 mph E
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 23+11 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Cwm Gwyn, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °5.7
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1987)
Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °3.5
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (2003)
Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °5
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °4.8
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Thu, 29+9 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Cwm Gwyn, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+0° (2018)
Fri, 30+9 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2015)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °5.6
+13 °
Cwm Gwyn, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.6 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1966)
Sun, 01+9 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Cwm Gwyn, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2009)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °5.7
+12 °
Cwm Gwyn, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Cwm Gwyn, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+8 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Cwm Gwyn, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (2006)
Thu, 05+8 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Cwm Gwyn, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (2006)
Fri, 06+8 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Cwm Gwyn, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (2017)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Cwm Gwyn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Cwm Gwyn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.