As of 20:49 BST

Weather in Croes Llanfair

+8°

Croes Llanfair, Wednesday, 7 October, 20:49

Clear sky. Feels like 6°C. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity79%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Croes Llanfair: daytime temperatures averaging +14° and +7.1° overnight — that is 1.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 47 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 55 mm. The warmest day should be 14 October (+16.7°), the coolest 21 October (+4.3°).

+14°/+7.1°

Average day / night

+1.8°

Above average

9 / 7

Wet days / normal

47 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.7°	+12.6°	+2°
17 October – 26 October	+12.9°	+11.4°	+1.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.3°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.7°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Brynmawr (14.9 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Croes Llanfair, Thursday, 8 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °

2.2

+15 °

Croes Llanfair, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity95%

Visibility4.4 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Croes Llanfair, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Croes Llanfair, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

4.3

+17 °

Croes Llanfair, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity99%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /16 °

1.4

+16 °

Croes Llanfair, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Croes Llanfair, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind10 mph SW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /16 °

0.1

+16 °

Croes Llanfair, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Croes Llanfair, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind5 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Croes Llanfair, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /14 °

0.2

+14 °

Croes Llanfair, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind21 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /15 °

9.4

+15 °

Croes Llanfair, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind23 mph SW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /11 °

8.5

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /12 °

3.5

+12 °

Croes Llanfair, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /13 °

11.9

+13 °

Croes Llanfair, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Sat, 24+6 ° /11 °

4.3

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (1995)

Coldest on record-2° (1964)

Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °

3.9

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2013)

Coldest on record-3° (2010)

Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °

3.3

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °

3.7

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (2003)

Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2012)

Thu, 29+5 ° /10 °

3.7

+10 °

Croes Llanfair, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (2022)

Coldest on record-4° (2008)

Fri, 30+5 ° /11 °

4.1

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+15° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1983)

Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °

5.2

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-3° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °

3.7

+11 °

Croes Llanfair, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °

+10 °

Croes Llanfair, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °

3.1

+10 °

Croes Llanfair, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+14° (1979)

Coldest on record-4° (2006)

Wed, 04+4 ° /9 °

2.7

+9 °

Croes Llanfair, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low4°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+14° (1978)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Thu, 05+4 ° /9 °

3.1

+9 °

Croes Llanfair, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low4°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+14° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Croes Llanfair are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Croes Llanfair since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.