As of 15:22 BST

Weather in Ardens Grafton

+14°

Ardens Grafton, Thursday, 8 October, 15:22

Overcast. Feels like 14°C. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Ardens Grafton: daytime temperatures averaging +14.6° and +7.7° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 23 mm), against a normal of 5 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.4°), the coolest 16 October (+4.7°).

+14.6°/+7.7°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

4 / 5

Wet days / normal

23 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+15.1°	+14.5°	+0.7°
18 October – 27 October	+13.7°	+13.2°	+0.5°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.8°	—

October records over 66 years

+26.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-3°19 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bidford-on-Avon (2.7 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /16 °

0.8

+16 °

Ardens Grafton, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity82%

Visibility5.9 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Ardens Grafton, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Ardens Grafton, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /16 °

0.5

+16 °

Ardens Grafton, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /19 °

0.6

+19 °

Ardens Grafton, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °

0.4

+17 °

Ardens Grafton, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind19 mph S

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+5 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Fri, 16+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Ardens Grafton, Saturday, 17 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind8 mph SE

Humidity41%

Visibility—

Dew point0°C

Sun, 18+9 ° /11 °

14.9

+11 °

Ardens Grafton, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /11 °

3.7

+11 °

Ardens Grafton, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Ardens Grafton, Tuesday, 20 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind10 mph NE

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Ardens Grafton, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind6 mph E

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Ardens Grafton, Thursday, 22 October

Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1027 mb

Wind6 mph SE

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 23+6 ° /16 °

+16 °

Ardens Grafton, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind5 mph S

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (1996)

Coldest on record0° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2019)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.4

+12 °

Ardens Grafton, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Ardens Grafton, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Ardens Grafton, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Ardens Grafton, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /12 °

3.5

+12 °

Ardens Grafton, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.6

+11 °

Ardens Grafton, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

1.9

+11 °

Ardens Grafton, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Ardens Grafton, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

1.7

+11 °

Ardens Grafton, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1981)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Ardens Grafton are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Ardens Grafton since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.