As of 13:00 BST

Weather in Conchra

+10°

Conchra, Wednesday, 7 October, 13:00

Rain. Feels like 9°C. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity80%

Visibility5.7 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Conchra: daytime temperatures averaging +10.6° and +4.9° overnight — that is 1.3° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 119 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 74 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+14.6°), the coolest 22 October (+0.9°).

+10.6°/+4.9°

Average day / night

−1.3°

Below average

9 / 9

Wet days / normal

119 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+12.3°	+12.3°	-0°
17 October – 26 October	+7.9°	+11.3°	-3.4°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+18.6°13 October 1990All-time high

0°20 October 2002All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Rothesay (24.8 km away).

Thu, 08+5 ° /12 °

17.3

+12 °

Conchra, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+8 ° /13 °

31.3

+13 °

Conchra, Friday, 9 October

Heavy rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity95%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /11 °

16.9

+11 °

Conchra, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity92%

Visibility2.5 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Conchra, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /15 °

7.2

+15 °

Conchra, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity99%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+5 ° /14 °

10.1

+14 °

Conchra, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 14+5 ° /11 °

+11 °

Conchra, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind4 mph S

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+5 ° /11 °

0.8

+11 °

Conchra, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Conchra, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind10 mph SE

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /9 °

17.3

+9 °

Conchra, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sun, 18+4 ° /8 °

13.3

+8 °

Conchra, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind16 mph SE

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 19+2 ° /8 °

1.5

+8 °

Conchra, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 8°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind5 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Tue, 20+2 ° /8 °

+8 °

Conchra, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 8°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Wed, 21+2 ° /8 °

+8 °

Conchra, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear sky. High 8°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Thu, 22+1 ° /6 °

0.3

+6 °

Conchra, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 6°C, low 1°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind3 mph N

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /11 °

5.7

+11 °

Conchra, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain68%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record+3° (1964)

Sat, 24+8 ° /11 °

7.2

+11 °

Conchra, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall7.2 mm

Chance of rain68%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record+3° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /11 °

4.9

+11 °

Conchra, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+14° (1996)

Coldest on record+3° (1992)

Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °

5.8

+11 °

Conchra, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.8 mm

Chance of rain72%

Warmest on record+15° (2021)

Coldest on record+2° (2012)

Tue, 27+8 ° /11 °

6.6

+11 °

Conchra, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.6 mm

Chance of rain70%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (2012)

Wed, 28+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Conchra, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+3° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /10 °

5.7

+10 °

Conchra, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1988)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

5.3

+11 °

Conchra, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain68%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1992)

Sat, 31+8 ° /11 °

5.9

+11 °

Conchra, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.9 mm

Chance of rain70%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record+3° (1988)

Sun, 01+7 ° /10 °

6.1

+10 °

Conchra, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.1 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+14° (2007)

Coldest on record+0° (2008)

Mon, 02+7 ° /10 °

5.7

+10 °

Conchra, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+15° (1971)

Coldest on record+0° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /10 °

6.2

+10 °

Conchra, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.2 mm

Chance of rain70%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Wed, 04+7 ° /10 °

+10 °

Conchra, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+14° (1978)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

4.1

+10 °

Conchra, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+14° (2025)

Coldest on record+0° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Conchra are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Conchra since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.